NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Price Prediction 2026–2030
Live NVDA analyst price targets for the next 12 months, plus bear, base, and bull 2030 scenarios built from consensus EPS, with every assumption shown.
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As of October 21, 2026, NVIDIA (NVDA) trades at $221.97. The 59 analysts in Yahoo Finance's consensus have an average 12-month price target of $328.72, with a range of $180.00 to $515.00. Ecomerate's scenario model puts 2030 at $139.22 in the bear case, $331.62 in the base case, and $605.10 in the bull case. The spread is wide because almost everything depends on how long data-center spending on AI keeps growing. Data Center was $89.0 billion of NVIDIA's $96.2 billion revenue in the quarter to July 26, 2026, so the stock is a bet on that one market.
Key Takeaways
- • One market: Data Center made up more than 92% of revenue in the second quarter of fiscal 2027, up 117% from a year earlier.
- • Near term: NVIDIA guided third-quarter revenue to $108.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, and assumed no Data Center compute revenue from China.
- • Product cycle: NVIDIA said Vera Rubin, the platform after Blackwell, was ramping into full production with cloud partners in August 2026.
- • The real question: The 2030 range depends far more on whether AI capex holds up after the current build-out than on any one quarter.
NVIDIA 12-Month Analyst Price Targets
| Price | Change from today | |
|---|---|---|
| Current price | $221.97 | — |
| Lowest target | $180.00 | -18.9% |
| Average target | $328.72 | +48.1% |
| Median target | $315.00 | +41.9% |
| Highest target | $515.00 | +132% |
| 52-week range | $164.27 to $243.37 | — |
NVIDIA Stock Price Prediction 2030: Three Scenarios
Each scenario grows NVIDIA's forward EPS ($15.91 today) at a fixed annual rate for 3 years, then applies an exit multiple. Change one assumption and the price changes with it, which is the point: the table shows what you would have to believe, not what will happen.
| Scenario | Growth per year | Exit P/E | 2030 EPS | 2030 price | Change from today |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | -10% | 12x | $11.60 | $139.22 | -37.3% |
| Base | 5% | 18x | $18.42 | $331.62 | +49.4% |
| Bull | 15% | 25x | $24.20 | $605.10 | +173% |
- •Bear case (-10% a year, 12x): Hyperscalers finish the current build-out and cut orders, custom chips from Google, Amazon, and others take share, and gross margin falls from the mid-70s. Earnings shrink from their fiscal 2028 peak and the market pays a cyclical multiple.
- •Base case (5% a year, 18x): Spending keeps rising but slower, NVIDIA keeps most of the training and inference market, and earnings grow modestly from an already high base. The multiple settles near the broad market's.
- •Bull case (15% a year, 25x): Inference, sovereign AI, and robotics keep demand growing after the build-out, Rubin and its successors hold pricing power, and China reopens. Investors pay a premium for durable growth.
How These Numbers Are Built
- • Start from the consensus forward EPS, which is analysts' estimate for the next fiscal year.
- • Compound it at each scenario's growth rate from that year to 2030.
- • Multiply 2030 EPS by the scenario's exit P/E to get a share price.
- • The model holds the share count flat, so dilution, buybacks, and acquisitions are not included. It uses forward EPS, not cash flow, debt, or a discounted valuation.
- • Prices, targets, and estimates refresh from Yahoo Finance about once an hour. The written analysis and assumptions are reviewed on the date shown at the top.
NVDA Stock Price Prediction 2026 and 2027
For the next twelve months, the best public reference is the analyst consensus in the table above: an average target of $328.72 against a price of $221.97, from 59 analysts as of October 21, 2026. Most of those targets run to roughly late 2027, so they cover what is left of 2026 and most of 2027.
The next marker is NVIDIA's third-quarter fiscal 2027 report, which third-party calendars expect around November 18, 2026; NVIDIA had not confirmed the date when this page was updated. Against guidance of $108.0 billion, the market will watch Data Center growth, gross margin near 75%, and any change in the China assumption.
What Drives NVIDIA's Stock
NVIDIA sells the accelerators, networking, and software that most large AI models are trained and served on. Revenue doubled from $46.7 billion to $96.2 billion between the second quarters of fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027, and both GAAP and non-GAAP gross margin were 75.0%.
That growth comes from a small number of very large buyers: cloud providers, AI labs, and neoclouds such as CoreWeave and Nebius, which NVIDIA named among its early Vera Rubin partners. Their capital budgets, and their willingness to keep raising them, set NVIDIA's revenue more than any other variable.
The Bull Case
- • Product cadence: NVIDIA ships a new platform roughly every year, which keeps competitors chasing a moving target.
- • Full stack: CUDA, networking, and systems make NVIDIA harder to replace than a single chip would be.
- • New demand: inference, sovereign AI programs, and physical AI could extend spending after the training build-out.
- • Capital return: NVIDIA returned about $26.0 billion through buybacks and dividends in the second quarter and had about $99.0 billion left under its repurchase authorization.
The Bear Case
- • Concentration: a few customers account for a large share of revenue, and any one of them pausing would show quickly.
- • Custom silicon: Google's TPUs, Amazon's Trainium, and other in-house chips compete for the same budgets.
- • China: NVIDIA's guidance assumes no Data Center compute revenue from China, so access depends on US and Chinese policy.
- • Cyclicality: semiconductors have historically followed build-outs with digestion periods, when orders fall while customers use the capacity they bought.
Before You Rely on This
This article is information and research education, not personalised investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Figures can be stale or incomplete, so check material claims against the dated primary source. Ecomerate is not a broker.
Sources
- NVIDIA second-quarter fiscal 2027 results (Form 8-K exhibit, SEC)
- NVIDIA investor relations
- NVIDIA filings on SEC EDGAR
- NVDA analyst estimates (Yahoo Finance)
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the NVIDIA stock price prediction for 2030?
No one can predict it reliably. Ecomerate's scenario model, which applies stated growth and P/E assumptions to consensus forward EPS, gives $139.22 in the bear case, $331.62 in the base case, and $605.10 in the bull case. Those are illustrations of what you would have to believe, not forecasts.
What is the NVDA price target for the next 12 months?
As of October 21, 2026, the 59 analysts in Yahoo Finance's consensus have an average 12-month target of $328.72, with a low of $180.00 and a high of $515.00. The stock was at $221.97.
What could make NVIDIA stock fall?
The main risks are a slowdown in AI data-center spending, customers shifting to custom chips, lower gross margins, and export rules. NVIDIA's own guidance assumes no Data Center compute revenue from China.
When does NVIDIA report earnings next?
Third-party calendars expect the third-quarter fiscal 2027 report around November 18, 2026. Check NVIDIA's investor relations site for the confirmed date.
Is NVIDIA stock a buy?
Ecomerate does not make buy or sell recommendations. This page shows third-party analyst targets, a scenario model with its assumptions, and the risks on both sides so you can do your own research.